Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.032484 0.037805 0.043661 0.050573 0.058501 0.067301 0.077798
2025-09-21 0.023786 0.030529 0.038636 0.049064 0.062088 0.077777 0.098065
2025-09-28 0.018409 0.025744 0.035268 0.048464 0.066185 0.089056 0.120696
2025-10-05 0.015755 0.023744 0.034836 0.051214 0.074610 0.106618 0.153470
2025-10-12 0.013500 0.021770 0.033963 0.053021 0.081775 0.123179 0.186844
2025-10-19 0.010997 0.018904 0.031239 0.051569 0.083836 0.132537 0.210874
2025-10-26 0.009262 0.016886 0.029410 0.051075 0.087072 0.143749 0.238658
2025-11-02 0.007697 0.014843 0.027175 0.049505 0.088237 0.151679 0.261963
2025-11-09 0.006497 0.013213 0.025352 0.048291 0.089707 0.160068 0.286667
2025-11-16 0.005677 0.012131 0.024309 0.048248 0.093087 0.171848 0.318075
2025-11-23 0.004842 0.010867 0.022724 0.046952 0.093986 0.179322 0.342624
2025-11-30 0.004504 0.010552 0.022907 0.049017 0.101308 0.198876 0.390523
2025-12-07 0.003983 0.009772 0.022074 0.049018 0.104781 0.211934 0.428244
2025-12-14 0.003419 0.008792 0.020677 0.047671 0.105416 0.219705 0.456817
2025-12-21 0.003002 0.008075 0.019736 0.047145 0.107642 0.230749 0.492787
2025-12-28 0.002865 0.008013 0.020244 0.049856 0.116989 0.256881 0.561211
2026-01-04 0.002676 0.007786 0.020337 0.051634 0.124506 0.279974 0.625572
2026-01-11 0.002325 0.007064 0.019135 0.050225 0.124749 0.287854 0.659000
2026-01-18 0.002069 0.006552 0.018369 0.049747 0.127041 0.300297 0.703224
2026-01-25 0.001798 0.005937 0.017244 0.048217 0.126660 0.306804 0.735088
2026-02-01 0.001577 0.005427 0.016310 0.047034 0.126954 0.314812 0.770958
2026-02-08 0.001427 0.005105 0.015838 0.046992 0.130051 0.329499 0.823232
2026-02-15 0.001252 0.004664 0.014960 0.045728 0.129888 0.336510 0.858343